By Thierry Aimar, Francis Bismans, Claude Diebolt
This e-book analyzes the advance of monetary cycles within the run of historical past. the focal point is at the improvement of cycle thought, with greatest emphasis upon rules. bankruptcy 1 can provide an summary of the talk approximately cycles earlier than the Nineteen Seventies. bankruptcy 2 completes this survey via featuring the most empirical investigations considering the fact that that point. ultimately, Chapters three and four illustrate the discourse, by means of offering, within the culture of Burns and Mitchell, unique case stories on France, South Africa, and Germany.
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Lucas later introduced the costs of capital formation to account for this phenomenon of persistence. But Lucas’ position was not sufficiently convincing for the supporters of the theory of cycles at equilibrium, who called on other types of shocks to reproduce persistence in the observed fluctuations, namely technological shocks. The supporters of this new line of thought, called Real Business Cycle (RBC), defined it as the result of an optimal adaptation of the economy to equilibrium. They revived the neo-classical explanation of economic fluctuations.
Koyck & H. J. ), Jan Tinbergen: Selected Papers, North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1959. Tinbergen, J. (1937). An econometric approach to business cycle problems. Paris: Hermann. Tinbergen, J. (1939). Statistical testing of business-cycle theories, Vol. I: A Method and its Application to Investment Activity; (Vol. II: Business Cycles in the United States of America, 1919–1932, League of Nations, Genève. Tinbergen, J. (1940). On a method of statistical business cycle research: A reply. Economic Journal, 50, 141–154.
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